Market Analysis – Oct 27th

Market Analysis - Oct 27

Market Analysis - Oct 27

 

So the last week was pretty red. It was a brutal week for securities. However, many option traders made out good money. Buying puts was a profitable tade strategy last week. Additionally, a more risky move would have been to write calls. Covered calls would be less risky while the naked would have been very risky. Looking back tho, it is easier to say that any call writing would have been profitable.

So that means after a lot of red days, there’s bound to be some slight rallies and green days. Many people project that Monday would be green. I was not expecting Monday (today) to be green. I was anticipating that Tuesday (tomorrow) will be green. Since today has closed red, that leave the rest of this week to show what the markets will do. As logged in my journal earlier, I’m all in on the MSFT Nov 27 calls at an average of .44. Currently, it is trading at .05. Today’s range was .05-.13. This trade is not doing well. It is down 88%. The only reason to hold now is to hope for the best and hope that before Nov 22 it will rise and profitable. If not, then depending on market strength it might still be ok, to get out at 40-50% loss with the lesson learnt and memorized. Going in to live trading, one of my rules was to never put all the money on one trade. However, the real life is very different. The lure of averaging down and making a quick buck is so strong that while watching myself break my rules I couldn’t stop it.

Now, the pressure is on to never repeat that same mistake again. However, I must first close this trade. I have till Nov second week to decide whether I”ll be getting out with profit, with partial, or with complete capital loss.