Day End Market Analysis

Market Analysis - Oct. 21st, 2008.

Market Analysis - Oct. 21st, 2008.

 

Today was a wierd day for the markets. In the morning the market headed up but then reversed directions late morning. This could be consistent with the normal market trend where it starts off in one direction and then late morning turns. However, it reversed again and headed up towards afternoon and formed a second top. Toward close, it just headed down like crazy. So it would appear to have just charted a double top. Hopefully, that fall won’t be that hard.

Normal conditions have been indicating that there might be small rallies in the market and then a longer term decline. However, if this starts the decline, that will be most inopportune time to have averaged downt to .50 on 20 Nov 27 MSFT calls.

Time will tell. There is a GTC order for limit of .70 set in my account ready to go and close out the position. However, it MSFT doesn’t hig 24.50 or during the day, the target of .70 might not be reached.

Form the morning’s close of yesterday position, the profit was $50.00. So the total account value before opening new trades was ~ $1187.00.

New trades are for 20 contracts (over exposed here) and should have been only for 10. But this is the emotional thing that got in the picture and said, it’s probably gonna fluctuate tomorrow and it’s better to buy more and average down and increase position size. Ideally, the first trade should not have been opened. The first position was at a price of .53 but without looking at the overall market direction or considering any technical indicators. The second position seems to be a little on the ok side. If the markets don’t fall thru the bottom of the screen tomorrow, the trade should be fine.